Wayne Stollings wrote:
Ahhh yes, I see it this time. Had a little more time to look too.
Here is what they say:
[i]The cosmic ray count is negative-correlated to TSI and magnetic flux, and its
minima correspond to solar activity maxima. Fig. 8 shows that the minimum
around 1991.5 was lower than the minimum around 1989.8e1990.5. This
implies that according to this record, the solar activity was likely higher around
1991.5 than around 1989.8e1990.5. This contradicts the pattern observed in
ERBS/ERBE and confirms the NIMBUS7/ERB pattern, as Fig. 5 shows.
[b]However, other solar indexes, such as the sunspot number index, present the
I think Scafetta is being too good of a scientist by trying to make more uncertainties than there actually are.
I'm not sure where he gets the idea that the Sunspot Numbers contradict the increase in TSI during the ACRIM Gap that both ACRIM and IRMB have. The GSSN dataset shows a positive slope, indicating that sunspots were increasing in this period when GCRs were decreasing, matching an increased slope in TSI during this period, which PMOD does not have, hence the flat slope.http://www.acrim.com/images/earth_obs_ACRIM_Gap_4p.jpg
Statistically these all seem to be the same since no trend can be determined because the measurements are so uncertain.
And using that logic, you can't say the sun is not the driver of recent climate change, since everything is so uncertain.