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Baked Alaska
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Author:  Johhny Electriglide [ Sun Jan 04, 2015 3:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Baked Alaska

Baked Alaska: Climate Change in the Arctic

Posted January 2, 2015

Arctic Report Card

"The NOAA releases its latest Arctic Report CardIf there’s been any “pause” in global warming, the Arctic hasn’t seen it. The latest Arctic Report Card issued from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) shows a continued acceleration of climate change in the region.

This latest report shows that Arctic air temperatures continue to rise at more than twice the rate of global temperatures, a phenomenon scientists call “Arctic amplification,” causing a range of impacts. Among them are increasing air and sea surface temperatures, declining reflectivity (albedo) of Greenland’s ice sheet, diminishing spring snow cover on land and summer ice on the ocean, and the declining health and numbers of some polar bear numbers, including those in the Hudson Bay region.

The Arctic is the climatic canary in a coal mine, impacting not only Arctic populations and ecosystems, but the global climate system as well."
http://theenergycollective.com/globalwa ... nge-arctic
And I though Baked Alaska was some cholesterol filled decadent dessert!

Author:  Johhny Electriglide [ Mon Jan 12, 2015 2:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Baked Alaska

Looking Ahead in the Arctic, With the United States on Point
An American admiral is in line to lead the eight-nation Arctic Council as a climate steward and a caretaker of the ocean.

By Sabrina Shankman, InsideClimate News

Jan 5, 2015

"U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry, and U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Oceans and International Environmental and Scientific Affairs Kerri-Ann Jones (from left to right) at an Arctic Council meeting. Credit: State Department

This year is expected to bring a breakthrough for global climate action—and that includes the rapidly warming Arctic. "
http://insideclimatenews.org/news/20150 ... -327530301



Author:  Johhny Electriglide [ Fri Mar 06, 2015 1:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Baked Alaska

Enrico Mantle Methane Eruption Anomaly in N. Alaska, here;
http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2015/02 ... -2031.html
With the 2014 blowholes and huge methane spikes in Siberia, the Arctic is +6*C, past the point where in PETM and the Permian started partial methane turnover from global CO2 of volcanic origins over a relatively short time. Now humans are causing changes 10 to 40 times as much and fast. AND we haven't even really seen the rapidity of change as much as we will before the end.
http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2014/09 ... gency.html
Last year Siberia was up to 9*C warmer-----Alaska will follow. :-k

Author:  Snowy123 [ Fri Mar 06, 2015 3:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Baked Alaska

Usually a warm Alaska correlates well to a cold CONUS, and this year is no exception.

Author:  Johhny Electriglide [ Sat Mar 07, 2015 3:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Baked Alaska

I take it you do not believe the charts showing an average of 6*C increase in the general Arctic region. Or it could be a lack of study in paleoclimatology in the geologic record.
This will interest you;

"Understanding Time of Observation Bias

Posted on 6 March 2015 by Guest Author

This is a guest post by Zeke Hausfather

Global temperatures are adjusted to account for the effects of station moves, instrument changes, time of observation (TOBs) changes, and other factors (referred to as inhomogenities) that cause localized non-climatic biases in the instrumental record.

While the impact of adjustments that correct for these biases are relatively small globally (and actually reduce the century-scale warming trend once oceans are included) there are certain regions where the impact of adjustments on temperature trends are large. The United States, in particular, has large adjustments to temperature data that have the effect of nearly doubling the warming trend since 1900. The U.S. is somewhat unusual in that most of its historical temperature records were collected by volunteers rather than civil service employees. This has the benefit of giving the U.S. many more records than most other parts of the world, but contributes to the fact that stations in the U.S. tend to have quite a few systemic inhomogenities.

There are two specific changes to the U.S. temperature observation network over the last century that have resulted in systemic cooling biases: time of observation changes at most of the stations from late afternoon to early morning, and a change in most of the instruments from liquid in glass thermometers to MMTS electronic instruments. Back in July I posted a general introduction to U.S. temperature adjustments that looked at the relative effect of each adjustment. Here I will focus in detail on the Time of Observation adjustment, which is responsible for the majority of the change in U.S. temperatures vis-à-vis raw data. In a future post I will address the pairwise homogenization algorithm, which attempts to correct "
http://www.skepticalscience.com/underst ... -bias.html

Author:  Wayne Stollings [ Sat Mar 07, 2015 4:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Baked Alaska

Actually Snowy was pointing out that a warm Alaska usually means a cold continental US, which as we know has been in the news this year. Thus a warm Alaska would be supproted.

Author:  Johhny Electriglide [ Sat Mar 07, 2015 4:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Baked Alaska

Alaska has the northern methane release anomaly, but Siberia had all the huge methane 'burps' last summer. The warmer Alaska/colder CONUS is not beyond historical----yet.
What I pointed out is that in the geologic record of the Permian Great Dying and the PETM were both methane runaways to partial turnover with much less methane than now and they started into runaway at 5+C. The Arctic is now +6*C, so beyond that. Dig?
The so called hockey stick of the beginning of near vertical temperature and atmospheric carbon is only starting its incredibly rapid ascent. Methane turnover of hundreds of times the carbon of now in the atmosphere, I wonder if it will stop at just a partial turnover or complete to baking everything including Alaska.

Author:  Johhny Electriglide [ Mon May 25, 2015 3:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Baked Alaska

Records temps in Alaska, and cold here in central CONUS Colorado, wildly fluctuating jet stream from AGW, excessively heavier atmospheric moisture load again from AGW. Melt water from tundras are a problem up there, worse than ever. Siberia will probably keep up record temps, too and more methane 'blowholes' with measured CH4 spikes.
Huge amounts of carbon are contained in sediments, soils and vegetation in the Arctic. Rising temperatures in the Arctic threaten to cause much of this carbon to be released to the atmosphere.

On May 23, 2015, temperatures in Alaska were as high as 91°F (32.78°C), as illustrated by the image below.

[ image credit: US National Weather Service Alaska ]
High temperatures were reached at the city of Eagle, located on the southern bank of the Yukon River, at an elevation of 853 ft (260 m). High temperatures at such a location will cause meltwater, aggravating the situation well beyond the local area.

A bank of permafrost thaws near the Kolyma
River in Siberia. Credit: University of Georgia

Carbon contained in soils will thus become increasingly exposed under the combined impact of rising temperatures and the associated growing amounts of meltwater. The meltwater can additionally cause erosion further downstream, thus making carbon at many locations become more prone to be consumed by microbes and released into the atmosphere in the form of carbon dioxide and methane.

A recent study found that, at a location where the Kolyma river in Siberia carved into the permafrost and exposed the carbon, microbes converted 60% of the carbon into carbon dioxide in two weeks time.

Gary Houser, who recently launched the movie Sleeping Giant in the Arctic, elaborates on the threat of emissions from thawing permafrost:

This immense release would likely feed on itself, raising temperatures that continue melting more and more permafrost in a vicious, frightening, and unstoppable cycle. A tipping point could well be crossed, at which time human intervention is no longer possible. Temperatures across the planet could soar, setting in motion catastrophic levels of drought and food shortage. All life support systems on earth and life forms themselves could be placed under severe stress.

The colossal scale of the danger - and the observation of those factors lining up that could trigger it - demand that humanity exercise the precautionary principle. All political decision-making related to carbon emissions must be based on the understanding that a catastrophic consequence is looming, and the window of time for prevention quickly diminishing."
I wonder what the 'normal' difference in temp from AK to CONUS is, or was before. It was a difference of 30*F from here, and no one here has every seen it quite like this with severe storms and flooding, and about a week past the historic no frost days here. Climate fluctuation beyond historic is among the first effects of CAGW. I wonder what would happen to the jet stream(s) once even higher temps are in effect. Will the exaggerated southward and smaller width in the U shaped curves eventually become cut off and rotate into high pressure storm zones? After that, will the jet streams peter out? How big a part is El Nino playing with the moisture content, and how much extra moisture is held by the 3+*F increase of CONUS from AGW? The Arctic has been 12*F + higher in temp than previous average. Well, I was fooled by high Mar & Apr temps here and planted too soon. I need more seeds. Crop failure from AGW climate fluctuation beyond historic.
Then we have the 3 super typhoons, too;
http://mashable.com/2015/05/22/warmer-i ... han-texas/
Then again, THIS has something to do with it;
Monday, 25 May 2015
ALERT: High methane reading above Barrow, Alaska

2845 ppb methane reading at Barrow, Alaska
http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/201 ... arrow.html

Author:  Johhny Electriglide [ Mon Jun 22, 2015 12:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Baked Alaska

Now Alaska is burning bad............

Author:  Johhny Electriglide [ Wed Dec 27, 2017 12:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Baked Alaska

"Capital Weather Gang
Baked Alaska: 49th state is having an insanely warm December" (2017)
The title caught me; https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/cap ... e8649f49ef

[img] https://scontent-dft4-3.xx.fbcdn.net/v/ ... e=5ACA8355

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