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Author:  Snowy123 [ Sat Feb 04, 2012 11:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Weather

How's the weather near you?

Discuss.

Author:  Wayne Stollings [ Sun Feb 05, 2012 7:43 am ]
Post subject: 

Unseasonally warm. Neighbors have been mowing their lawns all week. We have daffodils which have bloomed, trees budding, and a couple of dogwoods which have also bloomed.

With the new USDA planting zone chart out, we are rethinking the planting scheme for the future. We are now at the lower boundary of our zone and given the change over the last chart we will soon be in the next zone.

Author:  Snowy123 [ Sun Feb 05, 2012 3:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re:

Wayne Stollings wrote:
Unseasonally warm. Neighbors have been mowing their lawns all week. We have daffodils which have bloomed, trees budding, and a couple of dogwoods which have also bloomed.



Same here, just had a ridiculously warm start to February with temperatures in the mid 60s in NJ for February 1st.

Now it is more seasonable, but still above normal.

The lack of any high pressure zones in the Davis Straight has been allowing a ridge to build in the SE, causing a warm SW flow from time to time.

Author:  Wayne Stollings [ Sun Feb 05, 2012 3:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

Our average temperature has risen by more than one USDA zone since we moved to this area some 20+ years ago.

Author:  Snowy123 [ Tue Mar 06, 2012 5:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

Today it's in the 40s, but we are poised to get a nice warm spell by my area.

Highs could crack 70 degrees. \:D/

Author:  Wayne Stollings [ Tue Mar 06, 2012 5:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

approaching 60 F as a high today, mid 60s tomorrow, and mid 70s the following day.

Author:  Snowy123 [ Tue Mar 06, 2012 5:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

Wayne Stollings wrote:
approaching 60 F as a high today, mid 60s tomorrow, and mid 70s the following day.


I am so glad that we are getting this warm spell. I am sick of every snow potential for my area being suppressed to the south or cutting inland giving me 40s and rain.

That's a La Nina for you!

Author:  Snowy123 [ Wed Mar 07, 2012 5:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

It's 63 degrees here with a strong southerly breeze.

Tomorrow should be even warmer.

Author:  Wayne Stollings [ Wed Mar 07, 2012 5:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

They missed the prediction here. Not mid 60s, but almost 70 today.

Author:  Fosgate [ Thu Mar 08, 2012 12:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

Warm yesterday. Even warmer today. (breaks into a "Deliverance" style banjo solo)

Author:  Wayne Stollings [ Thu Mar 08, 2012 12:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

Just do NOT squeal like a pig!!!

Author:  Snowy123 [ Thu Mar 08, 2012 4:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

Fosgate wrote:
Warm yesterday. Even warmer today. (breaks into a "Deliverance" style banjo solo)


We are going into a warm regime in the eastern third of the United States for at least March.

Take a look at the 12z GFS Ensembles (a computer model used to predict weather for the next 15 days).

Image

The top left image that is bigger than the rest is the Ensemble Mean, and that is the mean of all of the individual computer models shown in tinier boxes on the image.

That is a monster signal on a mean that a torch is going to remain for the eastern third of the country.

In the warmest places on that map for NYC, it may reach 80 degrees, which would be historic warmth if that were to verify.

Author:  Snowy123 [ Thu Mar 08, 2012 8:03 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

This model is a somewhat unreliable model, because it initializes off of an 84 hour forecast from a shorter range model whose forecasts haven't verified all that well at 84 hours, but pretty much after a brief cool spell Friday and Saturday, widespread mid 70s possibly brushing 80 are possible all along the Eastern Seaboard for next week.

But even after a second cold front moves through the area 8 days from now, the "Cold Front" only reduces temperatures down to the lower 60s as highs in the I-95 Corridor near Philadelphia and New York City, and highs would probably climb up from there as higher thicknesses are already starting to become present with a SW Flow.

(Temperatures are on the bottom right hand corner of these images).

Image

Highs after the "Cold Front"

Image

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/DGEX ... xloop.html

Author:  Snowy123 [ Thu Mar 08, 2012 8:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

In the short term, there will be cooler temperatures today and tomorrow for the east coast after a cold front moves out.

Along the I-95 Corridor from Philly to NYC temperatures will remain chilly in the upper 40s, and even cooler on Saturday, with high temperatures in the low 40s.

Author:  Ann Vole [ Fri Mar 09, 2012 1:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weather

All winter the 14 day forecast was for the temperature range to move from close to historical average to some range much higher... but all winter the temperature range has been close to historical average fairly consistently.

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