Currently we have higher amounts of equatorial upper ocean heat content than last year and a favorable wind forecast for continued blossoming of the Nino. I would say this has a good chance at peaking at strong territory.
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| Author: | knightofalbion [ Tue May 12, 2015 7:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | El Nino |
Here we go again ... http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-32704506 |
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| Author: | Snowy123 [ Wed May 13, 2015 7:56 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: El Nino |
Currently we have higher amounts of equatorial upper ocean heat content than last year and a favorable wind forecast for continued blossoming of the Nino. I would say this has a good chance at peaking at strong territory.
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| Author: | Johhny Electriglide [ Wed May 13, 2015 8:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: El Nino |
It makes it like Seattle here at 9K in central Colorado. So, just maybe, we won't have devastating forest fires this year. The future is not good, seeing we have 25 times the fire area of last century average per year. Extra vegetation up here means fire next year is a strong possibility. We hit 405ppm CO2 today. This is a day late; https://scripps.ucsd.edu/programs/keeli ... k_zoom.png |
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| Author: | herlbert [ Thu May 14, 2015 3:05 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: El Nino |
IMHO, sometimes it is hard to tell that the weather we are experiencing now is cause by climate change or el nino. |
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| Author: | Wayne Stollings [ Thu May 14, 2015 5:05 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: El Nino |
| Author: | knightofalbion [ Fri May 15, 2015 4:58 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: El Nino |
Remembering the impact of the previous El Nino, all of this does give us an inkling of the potential long-term impact climate change could have on agriculture and wildlife. |
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| Author: | Snowy123 [ Sun May 17, 2015 10:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: El Nino |
| Author: | herlbert [ Sun May 17, 2015 11:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: El Nino |
El nino has only weak effect on part of US just as the article said. http://www.scientificamerican.com/artic ... -for-2015/ |
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| Author: | Wayne Stollings [ Mon May 18, 2015 4:53 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: El Nino |
| Author: | Johhny Electriglide [ Mon May 18, 2015 3:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: El Nino |
I agree, Wayne, that stronger El Ninos will happen. Just not after another century. By then the ocean currents warm enough to set off clathrate deposits will be different than present. Then the currents will keep changing as the atmosphere keeps getting hotter. Eventually to the ocean surface boiling, the currents will keep changing until only pockets of boiling water are left. At the rate of change with acceleration, that is just a few thousand years. Geologically, and meteorologically, faster and greater change than ever before, after the accretion phase was over.  
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| Author: | Wayne Stollings [ Mon May 18, 2015 4:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: El Nino |
If the El Nino gets no stronger in intensity, if the cycle does not accelerate, and if the base temperature continues to increase, the net effect will be new record high temperatures. The El Nino and the base increase are still one and the same in the new record temperature just as they were in 1998. When we see record average temperatures with a weak effect, we know there will be significant records set when there is a strong effect. |
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