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EnviroLink Forum • View topic - El Nino

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 Post subject: El Nino
PostPosted: Tue May 12, 2015 7:41 pm 
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Here we go again ...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-32704506

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 Post subject: Re: El Nino
PostPosted: Wed May 13, 2015 7:56 pm 
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Currently we have higher amounts of equatorial upper ocean heat content than last year and a favorable wind forecast for continued blossoming of the Nino. I would say this has a good chance at peaking at strong territory.

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 Post subject: Re: El Nino
PostPosted: Wed May 13, 2015 8:58 pm 
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It makes it like Seattle here at 9K in central Colorado. So, just maybe, we won't have devastating forest fires this year. The future is not good, seeing we have 25 times the fire area of last century average per year. Extra vegetation up here means fire next year is a strong possibility. We hit 405ppm CO2 today. This is a day late;
https://scripps.ucsd.edu/programs/keeli ... k_zoom.png

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 Post subject: Re: El Nino
PostPosted: Thu May 14, 2015 3:05 am 
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IMHO, sometimes it is hard to tell that the weather we are experiencing now is cause by climate change or el nino.


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 Post subject: Re: El Nino
PostPosted: Thu May 14, 2015 5:05 am 
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 Post subject: Re: El Nino
PostPosted: Fri May 15, 2015 4:58 am 
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Remembering the impact of the previous El Nino, all of this does give us an inkling of the potential long-term impact climate change could have on agriculture and wildlife.

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 Post subject: Re: El Nino
PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2015 10:46 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: El Nino
PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2015 11:53 pm 
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El nino has only weak effect on part of US just as the article said.

http://www.scientificamerican.com/artic ... -for-2015/


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 Post subject: Re: El Nino
PostPosted: Mon May 18, 2015 4:53 am 
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 Post subject: Re: El Nino
PostPosted: Mon May 18, 2015 3:47 pm 
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I agree, Wayne, that stronger El Ninos will happen. Just not after another century. By then the ocean currents warm enough to set off clathrate deposits will be different than present. Then the currents will keep changing as the atmosphere keeps getting hotter. Eventually to the ocean surface boiling, the currents will keep changing until only pockets of boiling water are left. At the rate of change with acceleration, that is just a few thousand years.
Geologically, and meteorologically, faster and greater change than ever before, after the accretion phase was over. :-k :mrgreen:

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 Post subject: Re: El Nino
PostPosted: Mon May 18, 2015 4:39 pm 
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If the El Nino gets no stronger in intensity, if the cycle does not accelerate, and if the base temperature continues to increase, the net effect will be new record high temperatures. The El Nino and the base increase are still one and the same in the new record temperature just as they were in 1998. When we see record average temperatures with a weak effect, we know there will be significant records set when there is a strong effect.

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