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Climate change appears to be slowing down wind speeds worldwide, creating a ripple effect that could undermine renewable energy goals while intensifying dangerous weather patterns. This phenomenon, dubbed “global stilling,” occurs when warming temperatures weaken the atmospheric forces that drive wind movement, leading to extended periods of still air.
Research shows wind speeds generally declined from the 1960s through 2010, though they’ve rebounded somewhat in recent years. However, climate models predict average global wind speeds will drop again as temperatures continue rising. “When we look forward using climate models, and then look far forward into the future, our average wind speeds globally are expected to decline,” explains Hannah Bloomfield, a researcher at Newcastle University.
The implications extend far beyond energy production. Slower winds can trap hot air in place, creating dangerous heat domes and worsening air pollution in urban areas. Meanwhile, approximately 20% of the world’s wind turbines sit in regions at high risk for future “wind droughts” – prolonged periods of insufficient wind for power generation. European energy production could drop by up to 10% by 2100 under current projections.
Paradoxically, while average winds may weaken, extreme weather events are becoming more intense. Scientists continue to grapple with these complex climate interactions, acknowledging significant uncertainty in long-term forecasting. The findings highlight yet another challenge facing the transition to renewable energy, emphasizing the need for diverse clean energy sources and adaptive infrastructure planning as the climate continues to shift.